Foreclosures Plunge to Five-Year Low in U.S. Recovery: Mortgages

Foreclosure filings in the U.S. fell
to a five-year low last month as lenders sought to avoid seizing
property and a housing recovery showed signs of taking hold.

The number of default, auction and seizure notices sent to
homeowners in April totaled 188,780, down 14 percent from a year
earlier and 5 percent from the previous month, according to
RealtyTrac Inc. It was the lowest tally since July 2007, before
the onset of the biggest housing crash in seven decades, the
Irvine, California-based data seller said today in a report.

The “gradually rising foreclosure tide” forecast by
RealtyTrac after a February settlement by the nation’s biggest
mortgage servicers over faulty practices has yet to materialize,
limiting the number of properties on the market and propping up
prices. Banks are finding alternatives to home seizures, selling
distressed property for less than the amount owed on the
mortgage, known as a short sale, or modifying loans for
borrowers struggling to keep up payments while an improving
economy is helping to ease defaults.

“Things are getting better and the number of vulnerable
households is going down,” Paul Willen, senior economist at the
Federal Reserve Bank of Boston, said in a telephone interview.
“The pool of borrowers is much more stable than it was two or
three years ago.”

The U.S. mortgage delinquency rate fell in the first
quarter to 7.4 percent, the lowest level in more than three
years, the Mortgage Bankers Association said yesterday. The rate
peaked at 10.1 percent in the first quarter of 2010 and was last
lower in the third quarter of 2008, when it was 6.99 percent.

Tighter Inventories

Home prices in the U.S. rose 0.6 percent in March from the
previous month, the first sequential advance since July and the
third straight month-over-month gain excluding short sales and
foreclosure sales, said mortgage data company CoreLogic Inc.
Prices fell 0.6 percent from a year earlier, according to the
Santa Ana, California-based firm’s index of home values.

Short sales have been the preferred means for lenders to
dispose of distressed real estate in California, where they
totaled 11,397 in January, compared with 8,821 foreclosure deals
in that state, according to RealtyTrac. The tally in Arizona was
3,217 short sales to 2,776 foreclosures, while in Florida it was
5,014 to 3,959.

There were 35,816 short sales in the U.S. in January,
compared with 38,443 foreclosure deals, RealtyTrac said.

The national home-price data belies improvements in many
markets where “tighter inventories are beginning to lift home
prices
,” CoreLogic Chief Executive Officer Anand Nallathambi
said in a May 8 statement.

Miami Area

A drop in properties for sale may also be reducing
foreclosure deals, and helping to put a floor under prices. Home
listings in the U.S. fell 22 percent to 2.37 million in March
from a year earlier, a 6.3-month supply at the current sales
pace that’s considered a balanced market, National Association
of Realtors data show.

In the Miami area, March listings declined 34 percent from
a year earlier and prices rose for the fourth straight month,
with condos jumping 46 percent and single-family homes gaining
13 percent, according to the Miami Association of Realtors.

The $25 billion settlement over foreclosure practices
between the five largest mortgage servicers, including Bank of
America Corp. and JPMorgan Chase Co., and attorneys general
from 49 states has made servicers leery of incurring further
legal action, said Daren Blomquist, a RealtyTrac spokesman.

“Lenders are proceeding with caution and want to avoid
risk,” Blomquist said. “They’re not in a rush to foreclose
right away.”

‘Gradual Improvement’

The housing market may see “further gradual improvement”
as homeowners take advantage of current federal aid plans and
new policies are introduced, Elizabeth Duke, a governor of the
Federal Reserve, said May 15 in Washington. In markets such as
Miami and Phoenix, where foreclosure rates have been among the
highest in the U.S., price declines have halted, even with a
“steady supply” of new problem loans, she said.

“This calls into question the notion that housing prices
cannot stabilize until the foreclosure pipeline is worked off,”
Duke said in prepared remarks at a National Association of
Realtors meeting. “Mortgages that were originated using the
tight underwriting that has prevailed since 2008 would
presumably have lower delinquency rates, and recent vintage
loans now make up an increasing share of outstanding
mortgages.”

Housing Affordability

Affordability for homebuyers increased to the highest on
record in the first quarter, based on the combination of low
mortgage rates, low prices and improved incomes measured in a
Realtors index. A family earning a median income of about
$61,000 could afford to buy a $325,500 residence, more than
double the $158,100 median cost of an existing single-family
home in the U.S., the Chicago-based trade group said May 15.

Greater purchasing power by consumers has risen along with
builder confidence, which increased every month this year and
reached a five-year high in May, according to Barry Rutenberg,
chairman of the National Association of Home Builders and a
builder from Gainesville, Florida. That’s a harbinger of new
jobs for the construction industry, he said.

“Housing demand is slowly beginning to recover,”
according to Joseph LaVorgna, chief U.S. economist at Deutsche
Bank Securities Inc. in New York. “Banks are showing increasing
willingness to lend to consumers, which should bode positively
for the mortgage market. In turn, this would help shift the
housing recovery into a higher gear.”

Housing Starts

Housing starts increased by 2.6 percent to an annual pace
of 717,000 in April, beating economists’ estimates, the Commerce
Department data reported yesterday.

Foreclosure filings fell year-over-year in U.S. states
hard-hit by the housing crisis, and where steady investor
purchases have contributed to price rebounds or stabilization,
according to RealtyTrac. Short sales likely outnumbered sales of
bank-owned properties in the first quarter in California,
Arizona and 10 other states, the company said.

Among the 20 largest metropolitan areas, filings in April
fell 54 percent in Seattle; 44 percent in Phoenix; 34 percent in
San Francisco; 30 percent in Riverside-San Bernardino,
California; and 28 percent in Los Angeles.

Filings plunged year-over-year in the 24 states where
lenders record actions at the county level, without court
supervision, while they rose in the 26 so-called judicial states
that had “artificially low” filings during the national legal
probe of lender practices, Blomquist said.

Nonjudicial states and the District of Columbia saw filings
drop 29 percent from April 2011, with declines in Arizona,
California and Nevada accounting for much of the decrease, and
judicial states showing a 15 percent increase, RealtyTrac said.

To contact the reporter on this story:
Dan Levy in San Francisco at
dlevy13@bloomberg.net

To contact the editor responsible for this story:
Kara Wetzel at
kwetzel@bloomberg.net

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Article source: http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2012-05-17/foreclosures-plunge-to-five-year-low-in-u-s-recovery-mortgages.html

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Avtex Achieves Four Gold, Six Silver Competencies in Microsoft Partner Network

MINNEAPOLIS–(BUSINESS WIRE)–

Avtex, a provider of integrated interaction solutions, announced today
it has attained a total of 10 competencies in the Microsoft Partner
Network. The combination of four gold and six silver competencies
demonstrates Avtex’s unique blend of both breadth and depth within the Microsoft
partner program
.

To earn a Microsoft Gold or Silver Competency, a partner must prove
their level of technology expertise by successfully completing
certification exams, submit customer references demonstrating successful
projects, and implement an annual customer satisfaction survey.

Avtex has achieved the following 10 Microsoft competencies:

Gold Competencies

  • Portals and Collaboration
  • Digital Marketing
  • Communications
  • Customer Relationship Management

Silver Competencies

  • Content Management
  • Search
  • Messaging
  • Web Development
  • Software Development
  • Midmarket Solution Provider

“Being experts in Microsoft Technologies is key to our mission of
helping our clients deliver the best experience to their customers
through technology innovation.” Said George
Demou
, President of Avtex. “Earning 10 Microsoft competencies puts
us in elite company within the Microsoft partner community and is a
reflection of both the quality and scale of our consulting team.”

“By achieving a portfolio of competencies, partners demonstrate deep
expertise and consistent capability on the latest Microsoft technology,”
said Jon Roskill, corporate vice president, Worldwide Partner Group at
Microsoft Corp. “These partners show true commitment to meeting customer
technology needs today and into the future.”

All 28 Microsoft technology competencies differentiate a partner’s
specific technology capabilities, helping customers find qualified
solution providers with expertise in discrete areas quickly and easily.

About Avtex
Avtex, a Pohlad Family Company, is a provider of
customer experience solutions that enable businesses to optimize
interactions with their customers, employees, partners and prospects
through communication and collaboration technologies. As a Microsoft
Certified Gold Partner™ and Interactive
Intelligence
Platinum Elite Partner™, Avtex has deep capabilities in
contact center, UC, CRM, portals and collaboration, notification,
infrastructure solutions and application development. Avtex has over
1,200 customers in seven countries with offices located across the
country. Find out more about Avtex online at www.avtex.com or
follow Avtex on Twitter at www.twitter.com/avtex.

Article source: http://finance.yahoo.com/news/avtex-achieves-four-gold-six-191500527.html

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Gold Seeker Closing Report: Gold and Silver End Lower Again


– Posted Wednesday, 16 May 2012 | | Source: GoldSeek.com

 

The Metals:

 

Gold fell almost 1% to a new 2012 low of $1527.32 in Asia before it rallied back to $1552.03 at about 10:25AM EST, but it then fell back off again into the close and ended with a loss of 0.19%.  Silver slipped to $27.202 in Asia before it climbed back to $27.97, but it then dropped to a new low of $26.78 in early afternoon trade and ended with a loss of 1.77%.

 

Euro gold fell to about €1211, platinum lost $5 to $1426, and copper fell slightly to about $3.48.

 

Gold and silver equities rose over 2% in the first hour of trade before they fell to see slight losses by midafternoon, but they then rallied back higher in late trade and ended with modest gains.

 

The Economy:

 

 

FOMC Minutes from the fed’s April 25th meeting showed that “a loss of momentum in growth or increased risks to their economic outlook could warrant additional action to keep the recovery going.”

 

Mortgage refinancing applications jump; rates fall: MBA chicagotribune

Foreclosed Americans find way back to homeownership Reuters

 

Tomorrow at 8:30AM EST brings Initial Jobless Claims for 5/12 expected at 365,000 and at 10AM are Leading Economic Indicators for April expected at 0.2% and the Philadelphia Fed for May expected at 8.8.

 

The Markets:

 

Charts Courtesy of http://finance.yahoo.com/

 

Oil fell as the U.S. dollar index and treasuries rose on persistent worries about Greece that dragged the Dow, Nasdaq, and SP lower in late trade again.

 

Among the big names making news in the market today were Sketchers, Deere, Target, Facebook, Credit Suisse, and GM.

 

The Commentary:

 

With all the turmoil and commotion occurring in Europe, with slowing growth in China and with mixed signals coming out of the US, and now, especially with global stock markets reeling and talk of “US fiscal cliffs” abounding, one would expect the doves on the Fed to begin making noises and talking nicely to the investment community about future plans for additional QE measures. Some have even suggested that one of the things that the Fed also might do is to further push back their date for any rate hike until “late in 2014″. For now however we are getting an eerie silence. Even today’s minutes of the recent FOMC meeting are rather vague, pretty much just stating what everyone already knows – the Fed will act if they think conditions warrant them so doing. What gives?

Take a look at the following chart of unleaded gasoline which might possibly provide a clue. It seems to me that gasoline prices have become a sort of marker as this commodity is perhaps one that has the greatest impact on the general public at large since it is so obvious as price boards for it are stationed practically everywhere one looks. Notice how gasoline prices have formed a double top on the chart above the $3.40 (these are wholesale prices with no federal or state taxes added) and have begun to come down having fallen some 55 cents or so over the last few weeks.

 

However, they still remain quite expensive by historical standards and are more than 16% expensive than last fall. My guess is that the policy makers understand full well that any certainty in regards to the advent of a new round of bond purchases by the Fed would turn this chart to the upside faster than one can say “Whoa Nellie”.

It is very difficult to deny that while the Fed attempts to stimulate or to provide stimulus to the economy, if gasoline prices rise too highly as a result, it tends to short circuit the impact from such stimulus as higher gasoline/energy prices in general have a depressing or slowing impact on overall economic growth. I suspect that the Fed is hoping and waiting for speculative selling to push gasoline prices even lower yet so that the next round of stimulus will have gasoline prices back closer to levels seen late last year.

The problem for these Central Planners however remains the same, how do they herd speculative money OUT of the COMMODITY MARKETS and particular the ENERGY MARKETS and yet at the same time keep them from abandoning the EQUITY MARKETS? Remember, the more that people talk up the “SLOWING GLOBAL GROWTH” theme to push commodity markets lower the harder it is to justify stock prices at current levels. After all, what is good for the goose is also good for the gander and if the prices of basic commodities are plunging due to slowing growth concerns, then it is extremely difficult if not downright impossible to talk up the stock markets. Rising stocks need an economy that is growing and strongly rising stock prices need an economy that is growing strongly. You cannot have rising stock prices and falling commodity prices simultaneously as it is a logical aberration.

While the ESF and other entities would like to see this aberration – notwithstanding the impossibility of it occurring, if push comes to shove and they have to choose between falling equity prices or rising commodity prices, they will opt for the latter every time, particularly in an election year.- Dan Norcini, More at http://www.traderdannorcini.blogspot.com/

 

My Dear Extended Family,

 

Please make an effort to stay balanced. Greed is a condition of lack of balance similar to fear. Fear is being fanned from within the gold community as much or more than from outside. When people who know gold is seriously under priced talk temporary bear, they kick good people when they are down. When I last discussed this with Dean Harry Schultz he made a great comment about the leading gold reviewers. Harry said “You cannot herd cats.”

 

We can never make good discussions when we are out of balance. If I can be of any assistance it is to bring you back to balance as you review your situation. The market manipulators depend on being able to unbalance you and the greatest tool they have is to supply credit to the margin junkies who live on the edge of greed. This helps them flash to fear faster than the weather changes on Mt. Washington.

 

The continued strokes in the fiat money markets, regardless of where, is bullish for gold. The problems of OTC derivative just brought into the headlines by Morgan is alive and well, guaranteeing QE to infinity. It is possible that due to the genus quant’s, many of these weapons of mass financial destruction have taken on lives out of the control of their manufacturers. How long the Fed wants to stare down the markets is limited in time in a election year. QE is non-economic buying of US treasuries. They are bought to create a rate by government.

 

Austerity has exploded in the face of politics in the EU. That always results in changing politicians such as in France and Greece. The recovery in US economic statistics is running thin. That will cause more demand for liquidity especially in this election year as it is liquidity that floats all boats, especially the wishes of the want-to-again-be president.

 

The Fed has never failed a sitting administration in its history. The Fed is not going to fail the sitting administration in this election year. The assumed strength in the US dollar is a product only of the mirror image of weaker euro. The US dollar is not going to purchase more of anything US when currency induced cost push inflation is alive and well. The USDX is an antiquated index in its weights and measures.

 

You must make your decision in present time, neither fearful or greed-ful of the future. Look at every factor of gold and list them as bullish or bearish.

 

My decision is to forge ahead.

 

Sales of gold or gold shares should only occur when there is a clear and present need to pay bills with no other alternative. Your sales should not be made in the unbalanced fear of the bear raids fundamentally certain to fail in both gold shares as well as gold itself.

 

Respectfully,”- Jim Sinclair, JSMineset.com

 

Gold and Silver – As you can see from the charts, both gold and silver have entered not only key support areas, but are recording some of the most oversold readings in quite some time. This is without a doubt the most bearish overall mood I felt since gold bottomed at the start of the millennium. While there shall be no quick fix and the pain can linger awhile longer, the “mother’ of all bull markets is far from over. I think my views have been cleared in all my recent interviews and commentaries. The boat of real and no-hedge gold bulls has only a few passengers left (and I’m glad to see Captain Jim Sinclair still at the helm) while the gold bear boat is filled up and sailing under the S.S. Titanic 2012 model.”- Peter Grandich, Grandich Letter

 

GATA Posts:

 

 

Goldman Sachs e-mails show illegal naked short selling was bank’s policy

Brodsky and Quaintance: Central banks aim to redistribute gold and push it way up

Grandich renews offer of million-dollar bet on gold’s reaching $2,000 before $1,000

Germans fret about their foreign gold reserves

 

The Statistics:

As of close of business: 5/15/2012

 

Global Gold ETF Holdings

[WGC Sponsored ETF’s]

 

Note: No change in Total Tonnes from yesterday’s data.

 

COMEX Gold Trust (IAU) Total Tonnes in Trust: 177.49: -0.82 change from yesterday’s data.

 

Silver Trust (SLV) Total Tonnes in Trust: 9,516.40: No change from yesterday’s data.

 

The Miners:

 

Timberline’s (TLR) amended non-binding Letter of Intent to increase its ownership stake in the Butte Highlands Gold Project, Vista Gold’s (VGZ) drill and test results, Allied Nevada’s (ANV) senior notes offering, and Extorre’s (XG) drill results and reaction to current market conditions were among the big stories in the gold and silver mining industry making headlines today.

 

WINNERS

 

LOSERS

Winners Losers tracks NYSE and AMEX listed gold and silver mining stocks that trade over $1.

       

Please see Yahoo’s Mining/Metals News Wire for all of today’s mining news.

 

- Chris Mullen, Gold Seeker Report

 

- Would you like to receive the Free Daily Gold Seeker Report in your e-mail? Click here

Additional Resources for today’s Gold Seeker Report can be found:

© Gold Seeker 2012

Note: This article may be reproduced provided the article, in full, is used and mention to Gold-Seeker.com is given.

 

 

Disclosure: The owner, editor, writer and publisher and their associates are not responsible for errors or omissions.  The author of this report is not a registered financial advisor.  Readers should not view this material as offering investment related advice. Gold-Seeker.com has taken precautions to ensure accuracy of information provided. Information collected and presented are from what is perceived as reliable sources, but since the information source(s) are beyond Gold-Seeker.com’s control, no representation or guarantee is made that it is complete or accurate.  The reader accepts information on the condition that errors or omissions shall not be made the basis for any claim, demand or cause for action.  Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.  Any statements non-factual in nature constitute only current opinions, which are subject to change.  Nothing contained herein constitutes a representation by the publisher, nor a solicitation for the purchase or sale of securities therefore information, nor opinions expressed, shall be construed as a solicitation to buy or sell any stock, futures or options contract mentioned herein.  Investors are advised to obtain the advice of a qualified financial investment advisor before entering any financial transaction.

– Posted Wednesday, 16 May 2012 | Digg This Article | Source: GoldSeek.com

Article source: http://news.goldseek.com/GoldSeeker/1337199260.php

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Guest Commentary: Gold & Silver Daily Outlook 05.16.2012

As stated in the weekly gold outlook there are many items on today’s agenda: the minutes of April FOMC meeting, U.S housing starts report, ECB President speaks, Euro Area Annual Inflation and BOE Inflation Report .

Gold and silver continued their downward trend during yesterday’s trading despite the slightly positive news of the higher than expected growth rate of Germany’s GDP in the Q1 2012 (a growth rate of 0.5%); the news of the new elections in Greece to be held in June raised the anxiety in the markets and dragged down the Euro. This news may continue to affect the forex and commodities markets in the days to follow. As stated in the weekly gold outlook there are many items on today’s agenda: the minutes of April FOMC meeting, U.S housing starts report, ECB President speaks, Euro Area Annual Inflation and BOE Inflation Report .

Gold slipped again on Tuesday by 0.25% to $1,557.1; silver also declined by 0.96% to $28.08. During the month gold fell by 6.44% and silver by 9.47%.

On Today’s Agenda

Minutes of April FOMC Meeting: Following the recent FOMC meeting, in which it was decided to keep the monetary policy unchanged, the market didn’t react to this news as metals only slightly rose. The minutes of the FOMC meeting might offer some insight behind this decision regarding the future steps of the FOMC;

U.S. Housing Starts: the housing starts figures were historically correlated with gold– as housing starts declined, gold tended to increase the following day; in the previous report, the adjusted annual rate declined by 5.8% (M-O-M) to 654,000 in March;

Forex / Bullion– May Update

The Euro/USD declined again on Tuesday by 0.73% to 1.2729 – the lowest level since January 2012. As indicated below the correlation between gold and Euro/USD slightly fell in recent weeks but is still mid-strong (currently it stands at 0.33). Nevertheless, since these currencies pairs are still strongly and positively correlated with metals, as the USD continues to appreciate against the Euro, bullion may continue to be adversely affected from this trend.

Guest_Commentary_Gold_Silver_Daily_Outlook_05.16.2012_body_Correlation_May_16.png, Guest Commentary: Gold  Silver Daily Outlook 05.16.2012

Daily Outlook

I speculate bullion will continue their downward trend during today’s trading. The upcoming reports from the U.S may curb this downward trend if the housing starts will continue to fall and if the FOMC minutes might reveal some more hints of a potential monetary expansion is in the horizon (I suspect low chances for this in the near future). The political developments in the Euro Area mainly Greece may keep the anxiety levels in the financial markets high so that the Euro might continue its weakness against the USD; this Greek news may also drag along with it commodities.

This gold and silver prices forecast was first presents in Trading NRG

For further reading:

Weekly Outlook for May 14-18 2012

Gold and Silver Weekly Outlook for May 14-18

By: Lior Cohen, M.A. in Economics, Commodities Analyst and Blogger at Trading NRG

Would you like to see more third-party contributors on DailyFX? For questions and comments, please send them to research@dailyfx.com

DailyFX provides forex news on the economic reports and political events that influence the currency market.
Learn currency trading with a free practice account and charts from FXCM.

Article source: http://finance.yahoo.com/news/guest-commentary-gold-silver-daily-154600610.html

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Local business

Personal Finance Center decries scam

Personal Finance Center has announced that neither the bank nor Eduardo G. Camacho are involved in an email scam that has struck government of Guam inboxes. The email scam purports that a local businessman, Camacho, is requesting personal financial information to deposit $15.5 million into the recipient’s bank account, and that the transaction has been authorized by Gov. Eddie Calvo, Nigerian President Goodluck Jonathan and President Barack Obama. The governor’s office has stated that it doesn’t want anyone who received the email to give out personal information, said spokesman Troy Torres.

Article source: http://www.guampdn.com/article/20120517/NEWS01/205170317/Local-business?odyssey=mod%7Cnewswell%7Ctext%7CFrontpage%7Cs

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Personal Finance Daily: On the hunt for high yield, don’t get burned

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Indications

U.S. stock futures rise on factory, housing data

2.

Article source: http://www.marketwatch.com/news/story.asp?guid=%7BABE6F742-58E6-4EF4-9EF7-D93726AE0E31%7D&siteid=rss&rss=1

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AIG Wagers on Subprime Betting Second Time Different: Mortgages (Update 1)


Enlarge image
AIG Wagers on Subprime Betting Second Time Different

AIG Wagers on Subprime Betting Second Time Different

AIG Wagers on Subprime Betting Second Time Different

JB Reed/Bloomberg

American International Group Inc. (AIG) building in New York.

American International Group Inc. (AIG) building in New York. Photographer: JB Reed/Bloomberg


Enlarge image
AIG Chief Executive Officer Robert Benmosche

AIG Chief Executive Officer Robert Benmosche

AIG Chief Executive Officer Robert Benmosche

Andrew Harrer/Bloomberg

Chief Executive Officer Robert Benmosche has increased non-government-guaranteed residential and commercial-mortgage backed securities holdings by $11.1 billion since 2010 to $28.4 billion at the end of March, according to regulatory filings.

Chief Executive Officer Robert Benmosche has increased non-government-guaranteed residential and commercial-mortgage backed securities holdings by $11.1 billion since 2010 to $28.4 billion at the end of March, according to regulatory filings. Photographer: Andrew Harrer/Bloomberg

American International Group Inc. (AIG),
the insurer that needed a $182.3 billion bailout from the U.S.
government in 2008 after failed mortgage investments, is betting
this time it’s different.

Chief Executive Officer Robert Benmosche has increased non-
government-guaranteed residential and commercial-mortgage backed
securities holdings by $11.1 billion since 2010 to $28.4 billion
at the end of March, according to regulatory filings. The New
York-based insurer has acquired debt sold by the Federal Reserve
that the central bank acquired from AIG when the company was
rescued, including $600 million of CMBS last month.

AIG, which is also bolstering its unit that insures home
loans with low down payments, is wagering that a more than 35
percent plunge in property values, cheaper prices for the
securities and fewer competitors justify returning to
investments that four years ago required the government to step
in when it was unable to meet margin calls to banks.

“This is massively illiquid, under-loved asset risk that’s
actually really attractive,” Josh Stirling, an analyst with
Sanford C. Bernstein Co. said. “The one thing this doesn’t do
for AIG is help simplify the story.”

Jim Ankner, an AIG spokesman, declined to comment.

Benmosche is targeting debt that may yield in excess of 10
percent as the Fed pledges to hold interest rates near zero
through the end of 2014 to bolster the economy and help lower
the 8.1 percent jobless rate.

Investment Income

Fed policy makers and Europe’s debt crisis have pushed down
benchmark bond yields to below 1 percent, weighing on returns at
insurers and forcing them to buy lower-rated or longer-duration
securities to maintain profits. AIG has put more cash to work
after repaying most of its bailout funds, regaining access to
capital markets through debt and equity sales and having its
outlook lifted by ratings company A.M. Best.

It reported pretax investment income of $7.1 billion in the
quarter ended March 31, a 28 percent increase from a year
earlier. That was the most AIG earned from its holdings since
2007 before the financial crisis.

Pressure to generate profit from bonds held to back claims
has increased as the company’s property-casualty insurer Chartis
posted underwriting losses in 2010, 2011 and for the first
quarter of this year, meaning the business spent more on claims
and expenses than it earned in premiums.

Chartis, which sells coverage in the U.S., Europe and Asia,
is AIG’s largest unit, followed by the SunAmerica life insurer.

Shareholder Meeting

AIG, which held its annual shareholder meeting in New York
today, fell 51 cents to $30.45 at 4:15 p.m., trimming its return
this year to 31 percent. The shares may rise 24 percent to
$37.77 in the next 12 months, according to the average of 13
analyst estimates compiled by Bloomberg.

“AIG today is far different from the risky pre-crisis
AIG,” according to a May 7 presentation from money manager
Whitney Tilson of T2 Partners LLC. He estimates the shares may
be worth as much as $75 and will rise as the Treasury reduces
its stake.

AIG has sold more than $50 billion in assets including non-
U.S. life insurers and American General Finance Inc., which
originated residential mortgages, to raise cash to repay the
government.

The insurer was forced in September 2008 to take a bailout
after it was unable to meet collateral calls from banks
including Goldman Sachs Group Inc. (GS) and Societe Generale SA. An
AIG unit in London led by Joseph Cassano sold protection to
banks against defaults on collateralized debt obligations, which
are pools of assets such as home loan bonds or CMBS. Values
decreased after property prices began to fall in 2006 and
mortgage delinquencies rose.

Maiden Lane Rescues

The Fed and AIG later agreed to create Maiden Lane III to
purchase $62.1 billion in CDOs and Maiden Lane II to buy about
$39 billion in residential mortgage-backed securities owned by
AIG. The securities were purchased at about half their face
value, reflecting markdowns AIG had already taken. Under the
agreement, AIG can share in profits once the Fed is repaid.

AIG offered to pay $15.7 billion for Maiden Lane II in
March 2011 when debt prices were rising. The Fed rejected the
offer and began auctioning the securities piecemeal, fueling a
selloff in credit markets that worsened as Europe’s sovereign
fiscal crisis erupted. The central bank halted sales in June.

The Fed resumed disposals in January and February when it
sold $19.2 billion of home-loan bonds to Credit Suisse Group AG (CSGN)
and Goldman Sachs, helping the central bank unwind Maiden Lane
II at a profit of $2.8 billion for taxpayers.

MAX CDOs

Last month, Deutsche Bank AG (DBK) and Barclays Plc (BARC) bought $7.5
billion of CDOs, dubbed MAX, that were filled with CMBS. They
broke the deals apart and sold the underlying debt.

“It was a very successful sale,” with AIG buying $600
million, Benmosche said on a May 4 conference call discussing
first quarter results.

The most junior types of originally AAA rated CMBS, among
the debt underlying the MAX CDOs, typically offered yields about
17 percentage points over Treasury rates as of last week,
according to a Morgan Stanley index.

AIG didn’t seek to purchase these CDOs before its bailout.
It became involved through an option that Cassano’s unit issued
to Deutsche Bank in 2005, which allowed the Frankfurt-based
lender to create CDOs the insurer would be obligated to buy,
according to a 2008 regulatory filing. Deutsche Bank exercised
those options in 2007 and 2008, after the types of top-rated
CMBS that would fill the CDOs had tumbled in value, the filing
shows.

Largest Additions

AIG’s more than $250 billion bond portfolio increased its
CMBS holdings to $8.3 billion on March 31 from $7.3 billion at
the end of 2010. Home loan bonds without government backing
climbed to $20.1 billion from $10 billion over that period,
according to regulatory filings. The largest additions were
prime debt, with subprime securities rising $900 million to $2.2
billion.

Hedge funds and insurers have been buying property debt,
including subprime bonds, which sparked the worst financial
crisis since the Great Depression, as the U.S. housing market
recovers from the worst slump in seven decades. Builders broke
ground on more home than anticipated in April with housing
starts rising 2.6 percent to a 717,000 annual rate, Commerce
Department figures showed today.

With some bonds trading for as little as 30 cents on the
dollar, senior securities tied to subprime home loans with
expected lives of more than seven years will yield about 8
percent after accounting for projected losses, according to
JPMorgan Chase Co. (JPM) data.

AIG’s investing “obviously doesn’t make any sense if the
world relapses and there’s a massive recession and unemployment
goes to 30 percent,” said Sanford C. Bernstein’s Stirling.

Protocols Created

Protocols created by the National Association of Insurance
Commissioners starting in 2009 have also enabled greater buying
of mortgage bonds by insurers. Under the rules, their capital
requirements
are no longer tied to credit ratings on the
securities, which have mostly fallen to speculative grades.

Instead, regulators compare loss estimates from Pacific
Investment Management Co. and BlackRock Inc. (BLK) against the values
at which the debt is being carried.

AIG has also added to its business that guarantees home
loans against default. Its United Guaranty Corp. unit said last
week it hired Donna DeMaio, the former head of MetLife Inc. (MET)’s
bank, to be chief operating officer.

United Guaranty has become the second-largest U.S. private
mortgage insurer, according to industry newsletter Inside
Mortgage Finance with a 23.7 percent market share in the first
three months of 2012. That’s up from 14.6 percent a year
earlier. Radian Group Inc. (RDN) is the largest.

The unit is “putting very good business on the books as we
grow,” Benmosche said on a May 4 conference call with analysts.

While AIG is having to move out of traditional investment-
grade bonds for yield, they’re not taking so much risk they’ll
“blow themselves up again,” said Rob Haines, an analyst at
debt research firm CreditSights Inc. in New York. “If they get
a bloody nose again, the company will be punished very severely
in terms of their stock price and their credit spreads, and I
think they’re very cognizant of that.”

To contact the reporter on this story:
Jody Shenn in New York at
jshenn@bloomberg.net;
Zachary Tracer in New York at
ztracer1@bloomberg.net;
Noah Buhayar in New York at
nbuhayar@bloomberg.net;

To contact the editors responsible for this story:
Alan Goldstein at
agoldstein5@bloomberg.net
Dan Kraut at
dkraut2@bloomberg.net
Rob Urban at +1-212-617-5192 or
robprag@bloomberg.net;

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Article source: http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2012-05-16/aig-wagers-on-subprime-betting-second-time-different-mortgages.html

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Delinquent mortgages continue to decline


Delinquent mortgages continued to decrease in Wisconsin in the first quarter, a report Wednesday by the Mortgage Bankers Association shows.

Total past due loans fell to 5.09% of all mortgages in the state in the quarter ended March 31, compared with 5.46% in the first three months of 2011.

Nationally, the delinquency rate for mortgage loans on one-to-four-unit residential properties decreased on a non-seasonally adjusted basis to 6.94% from 7.79% – an improvement attributed to a recovering economy.

The delinquency rate includes loans that are at least one payment past due but does not include loans in the process of foreclosure. The percentage of loans in the foreclosure process in the U.S. at the end of the first quarter was 4.39% nationally, down from 4.52% at the same time in 2011. In Wisconsin, loans in foreclosure fell to 3.37% from 3.74%.

“Mortgage delinquencies normally fall during the first quarter of the year, but the declines we saw were even greater than the normal seasonal adjustments would predict, so delinquencies are clearly continuing to improve,” said Michael Fratantoni, the mortgage bankers’ vice president of research and economics. “Newer delinquencies – loans one payment past due as of March 31 – are down to the lowest level since the middle of 2007, indicating fewer new problems we will need to deal with in the future.”

He said the percentage of loans three payments or more past due, which represent the backlog of problems that still need to be handled, is down to the lowest level since the end of 2008.

“Foreclosure starts are at their lowest level since the end of 2007,” Fratantoni said.

The Mortgage Bankers Association said only four states – Maryland, Delaware, New Jersey and Washington – experienced increases in their 90-day-or-more delinquency rates. Forty-one states had decreases in foreclosure starts and 22 states had decreases in the percentage of loans in foreclosure.





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Article source: http://www.jsonline.com/business/delinquent-mortgages-continue-to-decline-p35emkl-151720825.html

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5 Ways to Avoid Filing for Bankruptcy

The B Word. We know what it is but don’t like to say it, and we hope we never have to go through it. The mere thought of bankruptcy sends shivers down our spines and makes our bank accounts quiver in fear. It has its reputation as the ultimate nadir of personal finance.

Bankruptcy, according to finance guru Dave Ramsey, is often considered one of the top five life-altering negative events a person can experience, with divorce, severe illness, disability and the loss of a loved one. Ramsey says that bankruptcy “leaves deep wounds both to the psyche and the credit report” (Take the bankruptcy quiz: Are you headed for disaster?)

Bankruptcies in the United States were abundant last year, with more than 1.4 million chapter 7, 11, 12 and 13 filings through the end of 2011, according to data from the United States Courts. The reasons individuals or businesses file for bankruptcy varies from person to person, but one thing’s certain–going bankrupt means that one must declare complete legal insolvency. When you’re in over your head and can’t pay back your debts, it may seem like there’s no other alternative.

But like anything in money and life, myths abound. Going bankrupt doesn’t always mean that a person was irresponsible with their money and seeks a bailout. And if you’re in financial trouble, filing for Chapter 7 doesn’t have to be your first, or your last choice. There are a few preventive measures and last-ditch moves you can take to avoid bankruptcy and get back in the black … hopefully, for good.

1. Settle/negotiate your debts. Commonly, Chapter 7 bankruptcy is a liquidation–a wiping clean or erasing of your debt. It can be dangerous for individuals because it can mean relinquishing your assets or property. If you’re on the brink of filing for Chapter 7, it is possible to hold onto your money and still pay back your creditors by settling your debts instead.

Debt consolidation is an arrangement with lenders to repay your debts without losing any of your assets. In this case, the person thinking of bankruptcy consolidates their debts into a single loan with one monthly payment, and at a lower interest rate.

Debt settlement is similar–like debt consolidation, it means that a person must negotiate some kind of deal with creditors. If it’s likely they’ll get their money back, most lenders will work with you to devise a reduced payment plan schedule. This may include waiving your current payments if you agree to make larger payments down the road to make up for the delay. Reducing you debt in this way is often looked at in terms of the snowball approach, paying smaller bills first and working your way up, or the avalanche method, paying down larger debt and decreasing payments as you go.

The chance to pay down your debt keeps you in control of your finances and away from having to file for bankruptcy.

2. Sell your property. In a Chapter 7 case–total bankruptcy–your property is put up for review by a trustee, who makes the decision on what to sell or liquidate so your claim can be settled. You can avoid this altogether by being proactive and selling some of your belongings before bankruptcy becomes an option.

If you’re in debt, consider what you can afford to part with. Do you have a second car, a collection of antiques, or other valuables? Many people consult with an appraiser so they can determine the value of their property. This doesn’t mean you need to clear out your home, but taking to CraigsList, eBay, or a public auction may earn you some much-needed funds.

Even if this approach only raises a minimal amount of cash needed to pay off some debt, it’s much better than being forced to surrender your property in a bankruptcy filing.

3. Borrow money from family or friends. It takes a lot of pride-swallowing to ask a parent, sibling or trusted friend for financial help. Many personal relationships have been tainted over money, but if you’re this close to going bankrupt, don’t be ashamed to make the approach–just make sure that it will be worth your time and their money. Make a budget and see how much money you’ll need to raise to avoid bankruptcy; figure out what you’ve been able to afford, and you’ll know how much more to ask for.

Asking your family for money when you’re in danger of going bankrupt involves the utmost trust. Ask yourself: Are they 100 percent on board to help you? Will their financial generosity really help to solve your problems, or will it be a “Band-aid” approach to delaying your pending bankruptcy? Most of all, have you considered how you’ll pay back not only your creditors, but your family, in time?

4. Restructure your mortgage. If you’re paying off your home, another method is to restructure or refinance your mortgage. By arranging a new mortgage payment plan, you may be able to save some money to put toward paying down your debt. It’s worth it if you can avoid bankruptcy or getting your home foreclosed.

There are two basic ways changing up your mortgage can aid you in averting a bankruptcy filing. First is to negotiate an agreement with your housing lender to reconfigure your mortgage under a new payment plan. See if you can devise a new or temporary payment schedule under the same terms of your original mortgage. A second approach is to refinance your mortgage altogether, which may include applying for a lower, adjustable interest rate stretched out over a longer period of time. The money you save on the front end can be useful in paying off your remaining debt and staving off the threat of bankruptcy.

5. Make real sacrifices. Sometimes the most surefire way to save money is to simply cut back. If you’re teetering close to the edge of a Chapter 7, reassess your budget and get rid of unnecessary expenses. Are you in over your head on your credit cards? Can you do without eating out or going to the movies? Canceling that gym membership or cable bill, albeit temporarily, can free up a lot of money.

Distinguishing your wants and needs–say, those frequent shopping trips to the mall vs. paying your electricity–is all part of learning how to save money and reduce your debt. Start living within your means and spending less than you earn, and the savings will add up.

If you find that going it alone doesn’t work, one alternative is to consult with a credit counselor or personal finance consultant to get your finances back on track. In this case, your No. 1 priority is rearranging your budget so bankruptcy isn’t even an option.

Trying out some of these suggestions could go a long way in helping you avoid bankruptcy.You may find that following one, all or a combination thereof makes all the difference that you need. It will be difficult; there’s no quick fix or easy solution to digging out of debt. But like starting a new diet or fitness plan, it requires discipline and a completely new lifestyle approach to the way you handle your finances, and make your money work for you, not your creditors, in the long run.

Paul Sisolak writes for www.GoBankingRates.com, which provides readers informative personal finance and investing content, as well as the best interest rates on financial services nationwide.

Article source: http://news.yahoo.com/5-ways-avoid-filing-bankruptcy-144609197.html

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Rob Carrick's Reader: Help, I'm supporting my kids and my parents

The best of the web on money, markets and all things financial, as chosen daily by Globe and Mail personal finance columnist Rob Carrick.

Help, I’m supporting my kids and my parents

Heard about the sandwich generation, which describes people who are helping to support both their aging parent and their own kids? Here’s a transcript of a radio interview with a woman who brought her aging father to live with her family in a two-bedroom house where her 23-year-old son also resides.

For parents of university age kids: Here’s a way to spend some money to save some money as your kids think about which university or college to attend.

Bribe, or should I say entice, them to stay in town and live at home by offering them the use of a car, or even their own used vehicle. Estimated vehicle cost: $8,000. Estimated cost of residence for one year: roughly $8,000.

Facebook faces a challenge

Set to go public on Friday, Facebook has experienced a slowdown in average revenue growth per user. Something to remember amid all the excitement over this highly anticipated initial public offering.

Young vs. the old

Have you read about those Quebec students demonstrating over rising tuition fees? That’s a backyard birthday party compared to what could happen in the United States if the needs of an aging population are allowed to overwhelm the government’s financial resources. Note: Canada’s government finances are in much better shape than in the United States, but we will face similar demographic pressures on government spending.

More money

Join the 13,000+ people who subscribe to my Facebook personal finance community for talk about investing, retirement, real estate, banking and other financial matters. I’m also on Twitter.

Follow us on Twitter: @globemoney

Editor’s note: If you don’t receive Rob Carrick’s newsletter twice weekly by email, you can sign up to get it for free at The Globe and Mail. All you need to do is register for the site, or if you’ve already registered, log in and go to your profile at the top of the homepage. Once you’re in your profile, look under Newsletters and Alerts and look for the Personal Finance Reader and other newsletters. Other financial newsletters include: Business Ticker, a summary of the day’s top business stories; and Berman’s Market Update, a summary of the markets at the open, noon and close.

Article source: http://www.theglobeandmail.com/globe-investor/personal-finance/personal-finance-reader/rob-carricks-reader-help-im-supporting-my-kids-and-my-parents/article2434373/?utm_medium=Feeds%3A%20RSS%2FAtom&utm_source=Home&utm_content=2434373

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